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Nightly Wrap-Up
Friday, September 25, 2026

GREEN SESSION: SPY +0.54% | Range-bound

SESSION RECAP

SPY opened at $768.65 and traded through a $766.29–$772.28 range before closing at $771.36, up 0.54%. The index recovered $5.07 from its session low and settled only $0.92 beneath the high, giving the close a firmer tone than the sideways, range-bound session label alone suggests. Participation was broad, with eight of 11 sectors advancing, while the VIX fell 5.11% to 14.87.

Leadership remained selective. Industrials, technology and financials led, supported by strength in MSFT, TXN, GE and CAT, but declines in META, INTC, ORCL and CRM showed that participation within technology and communications was uneven. Normal volume at 0.81 times average limited the conviction behind the advance, and no headline in the supplied feed qualified as a clear market-moving catalyst; the action was primarily consistent with internal rotation ahead of a heavy economic calendar.

MARKET SCORECARD

S&P 500 (SPY): $768.65 (Open) → $771.36 (Close) | +0.54% | Range: $766.29-$772.28 NASDAQ (QQQ): $744.50 (Close) | +0.46% Russell 2000 (IWM): $281.96 (Close) | +0.11% VIX: 14.87 (-5.11%) Volume: Normal (0.81x average)

TODAY'S WINNERS

- MSFT: +3.66% to $516.17 — The strongest listed gainer provided substantial support to technology and helped offset weakness in other large software and internet names. - COST: +2.93% to $922.76 — Displayed defensive-consumer relative strength during a session in which participation broadened beyond the primary technology leaders. - TXN: +2.74% to $278.07 — Semiconductor strength contributed to technology’s leadership despite the sharp decline in INTC. - GE: +2.33% to $327.23 — Participated in the industrial advance and reinforced XLI’s position as the session’s leading sector. - CAT: +1.95% to $820.93 — Added cyclical breadth to the industrial move, complementing GE’s strength.

TODAY'S LOSERS

- INTC: -3.45% to $123.00 — Diverged sharply from both TXN and the broader technology sector, indicating company-specific weakness within an otherwise positive group. - META: -3.33% to $751.66 — Weighed on communication services and was a major contributor to XLC’s position at the bottom of the sector table. - ORCL: -1.76% to $137.08 — Software weakness contrasted with MSFT’s advance, showing that technology leadership was concentrated rather than uniform. - CRM: -1.74% to $234.08 — Joined ORCL on the downside and reinforced the split performance within enterprise software. - TSLA: -1.54% to $372.11 — Lagged during a broadly positive session, reflecting selective weakness in higher-beta growth shares.

SECTOR ROTATION ANALYSIS

Industrials led with XLI up 0.94%, followed by technology’s 0.79% advance and financials’ 0.53% gain. That combination reflected selective cyclical participation, but communication services at -0.92%, energy at -0.86% and real estate at -0.24% showed that risk appetite was not uniform across the market.

Leading Sectors

Industrials, Technology, Financials Lagging Sectors: Communication Services, Energy, Real Estate

TECHNICAL TAKEAWAYS

- SPY tested $766.29 and recovered to $771.36, leaving the session low as the first observed support reference for the next trading day. - The $768.65 opening level was regained into the close, while SPY also finished above $770, the upper boundary of the supplied $746–$770 support zone. - The session high at $772.28 is the immediate observed resistance; SPY closed $0.92 beneath that level. - QQQ closed at $744.50 and IWM at $281.96. Because intraday ranges were not supplied for either ETF, those closes are reference points rather than claimed support or resistance levels; the broader SPY regime invalidation remains $745.75.

LOOKING AHEAD

No verified after-hours movers or futures indications were supplied as of 4:30 p.m. ET, so the bulletin carries no overnight directional claim. The TRH verdict remains MARKET VALUE INTACT — TEMPORARY DIPS, with P* at 29% and desk rung HIGH (held) · P* in the ELEVATED band; dips are expected to be temporary while SPY holds $745.75, but conviction remains low ahead of PCE on Wednesday, September 30, and the Employment Situation report on Friday, October 2. With the event window classified as heavy, the model book uses smaller sizing into tier-one releases and does not initiate leveraged exposure into the NFP session.

SESSION VERDICT

A broad but low-volume, range-bound advance that finished near the session high, with industrial and technology leadership offset by concentrated weakness in communications and software.

This edition was published to members after the close on Friday, September 25, 2026.

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Archived market commentary from Assets Bulletin, an independent financial publication. Informational only — not investment advice.